Flavio Cobolli vs Jacob Fearnley Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In second serve performance over the last six months, Cobolli edges out Fearnley with 48.24% of points won compared to Fearnley's 45.28%. Does this give Cobolli a slight advantage? It seems so, given the correlation to match outcomes.
• When it comes to returning, Fearnley outshines Cobolli by winning 45.64% of second serve return points compared to Cobolli’s 43.45%. However, Cobolli leads in first serve returns, winning 29.48% versus Fearnley’s 23.84%.
• Cobolli has a slight edge in breakpoint resilience, saving 57.74% compared to Fearnley’s 56.05%. Could this play a crucial role during pivotal moments in the match? It might.
• In overall performance over the past year, Fearnley has a better win rate of 70.13% compared to Cobolli’s 58.21%. Yet, this must be weighed against the level of competition each has faced.
• Cobolli performs best on Clay (61% win rate), whereas Fearnley excels on I.hard courts with an 82% win rate, indicating both players have specific surface preferences.
• Regarding tour level, Cobolli has played more on the Main tour with a success rate of 64.86%, while Fearnley has thrived in Challengers/ITF events with 83.33% wins.
• In terms of opponent difficulty, Cobolli has faced tougher competition with an average opponent rank of 73.1, significantly higher than Fearnley’s 179.88.
• If the match goes to a deciding set, Fearnley may have the upper hand with an 81% win rate, compared to Cobolli’s 64% in deciding sets.
• Both players have a similar break point conversion rate, with Cobolli at 31.55% and Fearnley at 30.46%, suggesting similar competency in capitalizing on opportunities.

Editorial Prediction (June 24, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Cobolli and Fearnley is set to be a captivating encounter with each player bringing distinct strengths to the court. Cobolli has demonstrated marginally superior second serve points winning ability, which might serve them well in tight rallies.

Fearnley's exceptional performance on Indoor Hard (I.hard) courts gives them a clear edge on that surface, while Cobolli's return game, particularly against first serves, could turn the tide during crucial points.

Fearnley's higher win percentage in the last year contrasts with Cobolli's experience against more challenging opponents, suggesting a key narrative of skill versus experience. If the battle extends to a deciding set, Fearnley's impressive 81% win rate in such scenarios could be a significant advantage.

Based on these insights, Fearnley appears slightly more favored to win this upcoming match given their strong form, adaptability on their preferred surface, and ability to handle decisive moments.